Drei Gründe sprechen gegen eine "starke" Merkel-

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15.09.05 15:07

4503 Postings, 7285 Tage verdiDrei Gründe sprechen gegen eine "starke" Merkel-


Hollrädiri, diri, diri... bei uns in der Regierung;-)

SPIEGEL ONLINE - 15. September 2005, 12:08


Three things would prevent the kind of powerful governance of which she recently spoke in Parliament.

One is the outcome of the election itself: Her majority against the post-communists, environmentalists and Social Democrats will be razor thin -- if she can win at all. That is not what a mandate for radical reform looks like. The more clearly she informs Germans of her intentions, the more they back away from her in horror. The absolute majority projected in surveys melted away with breathtaking speed. Germans' fear was greater than her powers of persuasion.

Second: There are rumblings in her own party. For the powerful provincial princes, this was a unsatisfying campaign. No one in the conservative ranks had expected that the chancellor, who had decided upon early elections because of a lack of loyalty in his own ranks, would be able to revitalize himself. His deathbed resurrection is blamed on Ms. Merkel. She was courageous; she was honest; she was even precise. In short, she did everything wrong. She ran a campaign counter to rational party tactics. She announced a tax increase, called for privatizing nursing care insurance and told subsidy recipients, night workers, commuters and home builders that they could no longer expect government handouts. The fear increased, the support shrank. The men in her party's second and third tiers will never forgive her for that. These gentlemen are panting for revenge, and they'll have plenty of opportunity to pay her back.

Through the Bundesrat, the upper house of parliament that represents the states, the princes possess a de facto veto. Eleven of 16 heads of state governments come from the conservative party. The German defect, that paralyzing arrangement of checks and balances built into the system after 1945, is very convenient for them. They take part in discussions, share in decision-making -- and block progress. Ms. Merkel's hardline enemies are just waiting to topple her. Most probably, however, the more moderate among her rivals will prevail. They have taken it upon themselves to wear her out in office.


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